Japan U20 vs Spain U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
43.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1999 |
URU
1 - 2
JPN
65%
20%
15%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1999 |
JPN
2 - 0
MEX
29%
25%
46%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +2 |
| 15 Apr. 1999 |
JPN
1 - 1
POR
28%
25%
47%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1999 |
JPN
2 - 0
ENG
67%
19%
14%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1999 |
JPN
3 - 1
USA
44%
25%
31%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Spain U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1999 |
MLI
1 - 3
ESP
20%
24%
56%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1999 |
ESP
1 - 1
GHA
59%
22%
19%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1999 |
ESP
3 - 2
USA
65%
20%
15%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1999 |
HND
1 - 3
ESP
17%
23%
60%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1999 |
ZAM
0 - 0
ESP
9%
20%
72%
|
67 | 37 | 30 | 0 |