Japan U20 vs Colombia U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
25.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
JPN
1 - 0
ENG
78%
14%
8%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
JPN
4 - 0
GER
42%
24%
34%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2001 |
CZE
0 - 3
JPN
46%
24%
30%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +3 |
| 21 Jun. 2001 |
JPN
1 - 2
ANG
78%
14%
8%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2001 |
JPN
0 - 2
AUS
58%
22%
20%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Colombia U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
COL
0 - 0
EGY
50%
23%
27%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2003 |
ARG
1 - 0
COL
79%
14%
7%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
COL
2 - 1
URU
26%
24%
50%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2003 |
COL
1 - 1
PAR
35%
25%
41%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2003 |
COL
2 - 3
BRA
11%
20%
69%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | -1 |