Japan U20 vs Australia U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
21.2%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Japan U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2005 |
JPN
1 - 1
BEN
93%
6%
1%
|
63 | 24 | 39 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2005 |
NED
2 - 1
JPN
46%
24%
31%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2003 |
JPN
1 - 5
BRA
11%
19%
70%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2003 |
JPN
2 - 1
KOR
60%
21%
19%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2003 |
EGY
0 - 1
JPN
41%
24%
35%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Australia U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2005 |
AUS
0 - 3
NED
35%
24%
41%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2005 |
BEN
1 - 1
AUS
3%
12%
86%
|
60 | 23 | 37 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2003 |
AUS
0 - 1
UAE
66%
19%
15%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2003 |
BRA
2 - 3
AUS
86%
10%
4%
|
58 | 83 | 25 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2003 |
AUS
2 - 1
CAN
51%
23%
26%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |