James Madison vs UNCW Seahawks analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.7%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
20.5%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
James Madison
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
WMM
0 - 1
JMD
24%
21%
56%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
CCR
1 - 2
JMD
12%
17%
71%
|
26 | 14 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
JMD
1 - 0
EPX
65%
18%
17%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2019 |
JMD
1 - 3
CFC
36%
22%
42%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
UNCW Seahawks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2021 |
UNC
1 - 0
WMM
63%
18%
18%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2021 |
CCR
0 - 0
UNC
15%
18%
67%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
UNC
2 - 0
EPX
53%
21%
27%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |