Jamaica vs Venezuela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
34.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jamaica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2010 |
GLP
1 - 1
JAM
17%
23%
60%
|
83 | 66 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
JAM
2 - 1
GRD
84%
13%
4%
|
83 | 55 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2010 |
GUY
0 - 4
JAM
11%
20%
70%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2010 |
GLP
0 - 2
JAM
16%
22%
62%
|
83 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
JAM
3 - 1
ATG
82%
13%
5%
|
83 | 56 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Venezuela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2011 |
ARG
4 - 1
VEN
78%
16%
7%
|
86 | 97 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
VEN
2 - 2
CRC
50%
24%
26%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2010 |
EUS
3 - 1
VEN
35%
26%
40%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2010 |
ECU
4 - 1
VEN
57%
24%
19%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2010 |
MEX
2 - 2
VEN
70%
19%
11%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |