Jamaica vs Suriname analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.2%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
14.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.2%
+3
17%
2-0
19.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.5%
1-0
17.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
24.6%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
14.7%
4.1%
Win probability
0.32
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
0.9%
2-3
0.1%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jamaica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2018 |
BES
0 - 6
JAM
2%
7%
91%
|
78 | 38 | 40 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2018 |
JAM
4 - 0
CYM
86%
11%
2%
|
77 | 37 | 40 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
ECU
2 - 0
JAM
74%
17%
10%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2018 |
BRB
2 - 2
JAM
8%
17%
76%
|
78 | 48 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
GRD
1 - 5
JAM
10%
18%
73%
|
78 | 48 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Suriname
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
SUR
5 - 0
VGB
80%
14%
7%
|
50 | 12 | 38 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
DMA
0 - 0
SUR
26%
23%
50%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2018 |
ALM
4 - 2
SUR
65%
19%
16%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
SUR
2 - 4
HTI
16%
22%
62%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2017 |
TTO
1 - 2
SUR
78%
15%
7%
|
50 | 73 | 23 | +2 |