Jamaica vs Suriname analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.1%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.8%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
7.9%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jamaica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
GUY
2 - 4
JAM
14%
21%
66%
|
76 | 52 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
JAM
0 - 2
HTI
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
PAN
2 - 0
JAM
53%
26%
21%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 2016 |
URU
3 - 0
JAM
81%
13%
6%
|
78 | 91 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2016 |
MEX
2 - 0
JAM
77%
16%
7%
|
78 | 92 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Suriname
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
SUR
3 - 2
GUY
36%
25%
39%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
SUR
2 - 1
VCT
41%
24%
35%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2016 |
KNA
1 - 0
SUR
57%
22%
21%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
SUR
3 - 2
GLP
22%
23%
55%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
GLP
0 - 0
SUR
68%
19%
13%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |