WC Qual. CONCACAF Playoffs Final
Global 4-3
Jamaica vs Nicaragua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.9%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.8%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
6.1%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jamaica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2015 |
JAM
1 - 3
MEX
13%
20%
66%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2015 |
USA
1 - 2
JAM
77%
15%
8%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
HTI
0 - 1
JAM
29%
25%
46%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2015 |
JAM
1 - 0
SLV
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
JAM
1 - 0
CAN
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nicaragua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2015 |
SUR
1 - 3
NIC
40%
24%
36%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2015 |
NIC
1 - 0
SUR
38%
24%
38%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
AIA
0 - 3
NIC
11%
18%
71%
|
48 | 5 | 43 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2015 |
NIC
5 - 0
AIA
78%
15%
7%
|
48 | 5 | 43 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
NIC
0 - 2
SLV
15%
21%
64%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | -1 |