Jahn Regensburg II vs TSV Abtswind analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
26.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
3º
14º
11º
59
4º
16º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
67 | 67 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
59 | 59 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
55 | 58 |
5º
|
90.5% | |
|
5º
|
58 | 58 |
6º
|
90.5% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
54 | 54 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
54 | 54 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
52 | 52 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
52 | 52 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
52 | 52 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
52 | 52 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
49 | 49 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
48 | 48 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
41 | 41 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
27 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
22 | 22 |
18º
|
100% | |
|
19º
|
16 | 16 |
19º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jahn Regensburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
FCC
1 - 1
JRE
23%
20%
57%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
BAY
2 - 1
JRE
40%
23%
38%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
JRE
4 - 1
REG
78%
13%
9%
|
34 | 21 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
FEU
2 - 2
JRE
10%
15%
75%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
JRE
1 - 2
AMM
48%
21%
31%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
TSV Abtswind
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
TSV
3 - 2
DJK
57%
21%
23%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
EIC
4 - 1
TSV
65%
20%
15%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
TSV
1 - 1
ING
43%
22%
35%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
KOR
2 - 3
TSV
27%
24%
49%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
TSV
1 - 2
ASV
35%
23%
43%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |