Jahn Regensburg II vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
42.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jahn Regensburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
GRE
3 - 0
JRE
67%
19%
14%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2004 |
JRE
3 - 1
FCP
54%
22%
24%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2004 |
JRE
1 - 3
UNT
6%
14%
80%
|
24 | 68 | 44 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2004 |
JRE
1 - 2
WEI
47%
24%
29%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | -2 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
MEM
0 - 0
JRE
67%
19%
14%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2004 |
BAY
2 - 2
TSV
67%
19%
14%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2004 |
UNT
1 - 1
BAY
40%
27%
34%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
BAY
2 - 0
BAD
83%
12%
6%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
BAY
2 - 1
WOL
88%
9%
3%
|
32 | 11 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
GRE
1 - 0
BAY
48%
25%
27%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |