Jahn Regensburg II vs Bayern Hof analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
32.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
13º
17º
14º
12
6º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
25 | 72 |
1º
|
41.5% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 68 |
2º
|
23% | |
|
1º
|
28 | 66 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
17 | 55 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 54 |
5º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
12 | 53 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 53 |
7º
|
12.5% | |
|
9º
|
14 | 52 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
8º
|
14 | 49 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
4º
|
22 | 48 |
10º
|
7.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
12 | 44 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
12 | 44 |
12º
|
8.5% | |
|
14º
|
12 | 44 |
13º
|
8% | |
|
|
15º
|
9 | 41 |
14º
|
14% | |
|
17º
|
5 | 36 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 36 |
16º
|
18.5% | |
|
16º
|
8 | 28 |
17º
|
41.5% | |
|
18º
|
3 | 12 |
18º
|
89% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
61% | 68.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
38.5% | 31.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jahn Regensburg II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
NEU
2 - 1
JRE
36%
23%
42%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
JRE
1 - 2
ATS
46%
24%
31%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -2 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
TSK
3 - 3
JRE
17%
19%
64%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
JRE
5 - 2
DJK
36%
23%
40%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +2 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
KOR
1 - 0
JRE
43%
25%
33%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Bayern Hof
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
BAY
2 - 4
WUR
71%
17%
12%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
DJK
1 - 1
BAY
46%
23%
32%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
BAY
2 - 0
KOR
41%
25%
34%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
NEU
3 - 2
BAY
44%
24%
32%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
BAY
1 - 3
AMM
46%
24%
30%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -2 |