Lobos UPNFM vs Real España analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
44%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
2º
9º
6º
19
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
19 | 34 |
1º
|
44.5% | |
|
2º
|
17 | 31 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
3º
|
15 | 29 |
3º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
12 | 29 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
6º
|
12 | 24 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
13 | 24 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 21 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 20 |
8º
|
29% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 20 |
9º
|
30% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 11 |
10º
|
82% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
5% | 66.5% |
|
Next round
|
67% | 32.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
28% | 1% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos UPNFM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
RSO
0 - 0
JAG
47%
25%
29%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
OLI
3 - 1
JAG
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
JAG
4 - 1
JUT
42%
27%
31%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
VIC
2 - 1
JAG
50%
25%
26%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
JAG
2 - 0
MAR
27%
27%
47%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Real España
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
RES
1 - 1
VIC
53%
25%
22%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
JUT
0 - 1
RES
35%
29%
37%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2024 |
RES
2 - 0
OLI
43%
27%
31%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 1
RES
45%
26%
30%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
RES
1 - 0
CDG
71%
19%
10%
|
73 | 39 | 34 | 0 |