Lobos UPNFM vs Juticalpa FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
31.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
2º
9º
7º
8
3º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
18 | 36 |
1º
|
65.5% | |
|
2º
|
14 | 29 |
2º
|
30.5% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 27 |
3º
|
27% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 27 |
4º
|
19% | |
|
4º
|
11 | 26 |
5º
|
16.5% | |
|
7º
|
8 | 23 |
6º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
10 | 22 |
7º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
8 | 22 |
8º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 20 |
9º
|
29% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 10 |
10º
|
91% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
3.5% | 3.5% |
|
Next round
|
37.5% | 33% |
|
Mid-table
|
59% | 63.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos UPNFM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
VIC
2 - 1
JAG
50%
25%
26%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
JAG
2 - 0
MAR
27%
27%
47%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
CDG
3 - 0
JAG
17%
22%
61%
|
62 | 37 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
JAG
1 - 0
ALI
34%
29%
37%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
MOT
4 - 2
JAG
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Juticalpa FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2024 |
OLI
1 - 1
JUT
58%
24%
18%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
JUT
1 - 0
VIC
41%
27%
32%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
MAR
4 - 1
JUT
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
JUT
1 - 1
RSO
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
ALI
0 - 1
JUT
51%
28%
22%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |