Lobos UPNFM vs Honduras Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
26.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos UPNFM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
MAR
5 - 1
JAG
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
VID
1 - 1
JAG
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
HNP
4 - 0
JAG
32%
23%
45%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
JAG
3 - 2
HNP
54%
22%
24%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
JAG
3 - 1
VID
37%
27%
36%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
PLA
1 - 1
HNP
54%
23%
23%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2021 |
HNP
1 - 2
MAR
28%
26%
47%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2021 |
OLI
7 - 0
HNP
70%
18%
12%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
HNP
0 - 0
OLI
19%
21%
60%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2021 |
HNP
4 - 0
JAG
32%
23%
45%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | +2 |