Lobos UPNFM vs Honduras Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
25.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos UPNFM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
JAG
1 - 0
RSO
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2022 |
MAR
4 - 1
JAG
52%
25%
24%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2022 |
RES
1 - 0
JAG
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
JAG
0 - 3
OLI
25%
26%
49%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2022 |
JAG
0 - 0
MOT
28%
27%
46%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
HNP
1 - 3
OLI
20%
24%
56%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2022 |
PLA
0 - 0
HNP
38%
24%
39%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2022 |
HNP
2 - 1
VIC
47%
25%
28%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
RES
3 - 0
HNP
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
VID
0 - 2
HNP
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | +2 |