Lobos UPNFM vs Honduras Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.1%
18.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos UPNFM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
JAG
1 - 1
RES
34%
27%
40%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
RDM
1 - 1
JAG
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2020 |
JAG
1 - 1
OLI
13%
21%
67%
|
57 | 77 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
JAG
1 - 1
RSO
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2020 |
HNP
2 - 3
JAG
41%
26%
34%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
HNP
1 - 2
RSO
46%
25%
29%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
HNP
1 - 1
PLA
23%
24%
53%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2020 |
HNP
0 - 3
RES
21%
25%
54%
|
50 | 65 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
VID
4 - 1
HNP
61%
22%
17%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2020 |
HNP
2 - 3
JAG
41%
26%
34%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |