Lobos UPNFM vs Honduras Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
20.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos UPNFM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
MAR
2 - 2
JAG
66%
20%
14%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
MOT
3 - 0
JAG
66%
21%
13%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2019 |
JAG
0 - 3
OLI
16%
23%
62%
|
58 | 73 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
JAG
2 - 2
MAR
30%
27%
43%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2019 |
VID
1 - 3
JAG
38%
28%
34%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2020 |
HNP
1 - 1
VID
48%
24%
28%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2019 |
HNP
1 - 3
MAR
17%
24%
60%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2019 |
RES
3 - 0
HNP
64%
21%
15%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
HNP
1 - 0
RDM
25%
26%
49%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
HNP
0 - 1
RSO
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |