Lobos UPNFM vs Honduras Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
32.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos UPNFM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
CFC
1 - 3
JAG
7%
15%
79%
|
59 | 9 | 50 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
OLI
4 - 0
JAG
74%
18%
8%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2018 |
HNP
1 - 0
JAG
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
JAG
3 - 2
JUT
43%
27%
30%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
JAG
2 - 2
RES
29%
27%
44%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
PUM
2 - 3
HNP
4%
9%
87%
|
62 | 9 | 53 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
RES
0 - 0
HNP
58%
21%
21%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2018 |
HNP
1 - 1
RES
28%
22%
50%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 1
HNP
61%
22%
18%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2018 |
HNP
1 - 0
JAG
55%
24%
21%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |