Lobos UPNFM vs Honduras Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
21.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos UPNFM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
JAG
2 - 2
RDM
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
PLA
0 - 1
JAG
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
JAG
1 - 1
MOT
18%
28%
54%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
VID
1 - 1
JAG
41%
28%
31%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
JAG
4 - 2
JUT
55%
24%
22%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2019 |
HNP
1 - 2
RES
29%
25%
46%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
RDM
3 - 0
HNP
32%
27%
41%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -2 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
HNP
2 - 0
VID
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
HNP
1 - 4
PLA
47%
25%
28%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2019 |
OLI
2 - 1
HNP
66%
21%
14%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |