Lobos UPNFM vs Honduras Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
31.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos UPNFM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
JUT
1 - 1
JAG
51%
25%
25%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2018 |
RES
0 - 1
JAG
64%
21%
15%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
JAG
0 - 2
PLA
55%
25%
20%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2018 |
RSO
1 - 1
JAG
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
JAG
2 - 1
VID
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2018 |
HNP
2 - 1
PLA
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2018 |
OLI
6 - 1
HNP
65%
20%
14%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2018 |
HNP
1 - 0
VID
61%
21%
17%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2018 |
MOT
3 - 0
HNP
65%
20%
14%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
RSO
0 - 1
HNP
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |