Lobos UPNFM vs Honduras Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
30.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos UPNFM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
RES
2 - 3
JAG
65%
21%
14%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
JAG
3 - 1
JUT
50%
26%
24%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2017 |
MOT
1 - 1
JAG
71%
20%
10%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
JAG
0 - 1
MAR
48%
27%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2017 |
JAG
0 - 1
VID
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Honduras Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
HNP
2 - 2
RSO
49%
24%
27%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2017 |
OLI
3 - 0
HNP
67%
19%
14%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2017 |
HNP
5 - 1
PLA
60%
22%
17%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
RES
3 - 2
HNP
60%
21%
18%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
JUT
3 - 1
HNP
40%
26%
34%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |