Lobos UPNFM vs CD Victoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
32.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
2º
10º
10º
17
8º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
17 | 17 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
15 | 15 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos UPNFM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
JAG
2 - 1
VID
28%
25%
47%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
CDG
1 - 0
JAG
12%
18%
70%
|
61 | 17 | 44 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
JAG
1 - 3
RES
25%
26%
49%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
RSO
2 - 0
JAG
41%
25%
34%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
JAG
1 - 3
MAR
28%
27%
45%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
CD Victoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2023 |
VIC
0 - 1
MAR
25%
27%
48%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
VIC
0 - 0
RSO
47%
25%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2023 |
OLI
1 - 1
VIC
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ALI
0 - 2
VIC
63%
22%
16%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
VIC
4 - 3
RES
22%
27%
51%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | +1 |