Lobos UPNFM vs CD Victoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
32.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
2º
10º
10º
17
8º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 32 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
17 | 17 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
15 | 15 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos UPNFM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
JAG
2 - 1
VID
28%
25%
47%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2023 |
CDG
1 - 0
JAG
12%
18%
70%
|
59 | 16 | 43 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
JAG
1 - 3
RES
25%
26%
49%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
RSO
2 - 0
JAG
41%
25%
34%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
JAG
1 - 3
MAR
28%
27%
45%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
CD Victoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2023 |
VIC
0 - 1
MAR
25%
27%
48%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
VIC
0 - 0
RSO
47%
25%
28%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2023 |
OLI
1 - 1
VIC
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ALI
0 - 2
VIC
63%
22%
16%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | +2 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
VIC
4 - 3
RES
22%
27%
51%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | +1 |