Lobos de la UPNFM vs CD Real Sociedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
14.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
2º
6º
6º
16
7º
10º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 29 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 13 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos de la UPNFM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2023 |
MOT
4 - 3
JAG
54%
25%
22%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
JAG
3 - 0
VID
35%
27%
39%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
OLI
4 - 1
JAG
59%
24%
17%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
JAG
1 - 1
RES
26%
27%
46%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
JAG
2 - 1
MAR
30%
27%
43%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
CD Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2023 |
RSO
0 - 2
OLI
15%
24%
60%
|
52 | 74 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
RSO
1 - 1
MAR
16%
24%
60%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
ALI
2 - 2
RSO
65%
21%
14%
|
51 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2023 |
RSO
0 - 0
MOT
16%
24%
60%
|
50 | 71 | 21 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
VIC
2 - 1
RSO
66%
20%
14%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | -1 |