Lobos UPNFM vs CD Olimpia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
47.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
4º
10º
9º
33
1º
5º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 35 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
29 | 29 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos UPNFM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
VIC
0 - 1
JAG
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
MOT
4 - 0
JAG
62%
22%
15%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
JAG
0 - 1
ALI
30%
29%
42%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
RES
1 - 0
JAG
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
JAG
1 - 0
RSO
37%
26%
38%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
CD Olimpia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 2
MOT
46%
26%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 1
OLI
46%
26%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
ALI
1 - 0
OLI
49%
24%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2024 |
OLI
3 - 1
RES
45%
25%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
RSO
1 - 2
OLI
31%
27%
42%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |