Lobos UPNFM vs FC Motagua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
58.3%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.9%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos UPNFM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
JAG
1 - 2
HNP
38%
26%
37%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
VIC
4 - 0
JAG
42%
26%
32%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
JAG
2 - 0
RSO
51%
24%
25%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2022 |
RES
1 - 0
JAG
67%
21%
12%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
JAG
1 - 2
MAR
31%
27%
42%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
CFC
0 - 1
MOT
25%
25%
51%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
MOT
4 - 1
MAR
55%
25%
20%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
MOT
2 - 2
VID
52%
25%
22%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2022 |
RES
1 - 1
MOT
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2022 |
MOT
4 - 0
HNP
63%
22%
15%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |