Lobos UPNFM vs FC Motagua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.8%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.5%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
59.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.9%
0-2
13%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
7%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos UPNFM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
VID
1 - 1
JAG
49%
26%
25%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
JAG
1 - 0
RDM
30%
27%
43%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
MOT
0 - 0
JAG
76%
16%
7%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
JAG
0 - 2
RES
29%
27%
44%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
RES
5 - 0
JAG
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
MOT
4 - 1
OLI
35%
26%
40%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
RES
0 - 1
MOT
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
MOT
0 - 0
JAG
76%
16%
7%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
MOT
2 - 3
RDM
68%
20%
12%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2020 |
AFC
3 - 0
MOT
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |