Lobos UPNFM vs FC Motagua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.1%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
45.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos UPNFM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
MAR
5 - 0
JAG
48%
27%
25%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2017 |
VID
1 - 1
JAG
38%
29%
33%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
JAG
4 - 2
RSO
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2017 |
JAG
0 - 2
OLI
26%
28%
46%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
PLA
2 - 0
JAG
35%
28%
38%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
FC Motagua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
RES
3 - 2
MOT
35%
25%
39%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
MOT
5 - 1
PLA
73%
18%
9%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
VID
2 - 1
MOT
17%
24%
59%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
OLI
0 - 0
MOT
46%
24%
30%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2017 |
MOT
1 - 0
HNP
62%
21%
17%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | +1 |