Lobos UPNFM vs CD Marathón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
46.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
2º
9º
7º
12
3º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
19 | 36 |
1º
|
59% | |
|
2º
|
17 | 32 |
2º
|
39% | |
|
3º
|
12 | 29 |
3º
|
22% | |
|
|
4º
|
12 | 27 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
12 | 23 |
5º
|
20% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 22 |
6º
|
14% | |
|
|
6º
|
10 | 22 |
7º
|
17.5% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 20 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 20 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 11 |
10º
|
88% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
3% | 19% |
|
Next round
|
54% | 69% |
|
Mid-table
|
43% | 12% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos UPNFM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
CDG
3 - 0
JAG
17%
22%
61%
|
62 | 37 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
JAG
1 - 0
ALI
34%
29%
37%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
MOT
4 - 2
JAG
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CDG
1 - 0
JAG
17%
22%
61%
|
62 | 33 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
JAG
1 - 0
OLI
25%
27%
48%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
CD Marathón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
MAR
4 - 1
JUT
56%
25%
19%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 2
MAR
48%
25%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 2
VIC
59%
23%
19%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 2
OLI
43%
25%
32%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
OLI
3 - 1
MAR
51%
24%
26%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |