Lobos UPNFM vs CD Marathón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
46.6%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
2º
9º
7º
25
3º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 38 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 17 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos UPNFM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
CDG
3 - 0
JAG
17%
22%
61%
|
64 | 38 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
JAG
1 - 0
ALI
34%
29%
37%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +2 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
MOT
4 - 2
JAG
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CDG
1 - 0
JAG
17%
22%
61%
|
63 | 34 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
JAG
1 - 0
OLI
25%
27%
48%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
CD Marathón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
MAR
4 - 1
JUT
56%
25%
19%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 2
MAR
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 2
VIC
59%
23%
19%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 2
OLI
43%
25%
32%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2024 |
OLI
3 - 1
MAR
51%
24%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |