Lobos UPNFM vs Olancho FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
20.7%
28.9%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.9%
36.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
2º
9º
7º
24
3º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 38 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 25 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
24 | 24 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
17 | 17 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos UPNFM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
MOT
4 - 2
JAG
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CDG
1 - 0
JAG
17%
22%
61%
|
63 | 34 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
JAG
1 - 0
OLI
25%
27%
48%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
VIC
0 - 1
JAG
53%
24%
23%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
MOT
4 - 0
JAG
62%
22%
15%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Olancho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
ALI
0 - 1
JUT
51%
28%
22%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
ALI
0 - 0
CDG
77%
15%
8%
|
73 | 37 | 36 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
CDG
1 - 0
ALI
6%
13%
81%
|
74 | 36 | 38 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 1
ALI
54%
23%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2024 |
ALI
1 - 1
VID
49%
27%
24%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |