Lobos UPNFM vs Olancho FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
11%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.8%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
41.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
4º
10º
9º
29
4º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 35 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
34 | 34 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
33 | 33 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
29 | 29 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 27 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
24 | 24 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
21 | 21 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
20 | 20 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
15 | 15 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 10 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos UPNFM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2024 |
RES
1 - 0
JAG
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
JAG
1 - 0
RSO
37%
26%
38%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
VID
2 - 0
JAG
52%
24%
24%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
JAG
0 - 1
MAR
25%
26%
48%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
JAG
0 - 0
CDG
76%
16%
8%
|
62 | 26 | 36 | 0 |
Matches
Olancho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
ALI
3 - 0
VIC
51%
26%
23%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
RES
1 - 1
ALI
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
RSO
0 - 2
ALI
38%
28%
34%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
ALI
0 - 0
MOT
48%
24%
28%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
ALI
2 - 1
MAR
49%
24%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |