Lobos UPNFM vs Olancho FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
40.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
2º
6º
6º
32
1º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 42 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
32 | 35 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 29 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 29 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 25 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
25 | 25 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 13 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
13 | 13 |
10º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lobos UPNFM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
VIC
2 - 0
JAG
35%
26%
39%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
JAG
4 - 2
HNP
56%
23%
21%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2023 |
JAG
1 - 1
RSO
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2023 |
MOT
4 - 3
JAG
54%
25%
22%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
JAG
3 - 0
VID
35%
27%
39%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Olancho FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
ALI
1 - 0
MOT
47%
27%
26%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
VID
1 - 1
ALI
33%
29%
38%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
ALI
4 - 1
VIC
61%
22%
17%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 2
ALI
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
RES
1 - 1
ALI
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |