Jaguares FC vs Unión Magdalena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
18%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaguares FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
JAG
1 - 3
IND
30%
25%
45%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
BOG
1 - 0
JAG
27%
29%
44%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2014 |
JAG
1 - 1
RIO
45%
23%
32%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
JAG
1 - 1
BUC
54%
26%
20%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 0
JAG
80%
13%
7%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Magdalena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2014 |
JUN
1 - 1
UNI
80%
15%
6%
|
55 | 79 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 0
TFC
61%
22%
16%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2014 |
RSC
2 - 0
UNI
53%
25%
23%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2014 |
CUC
2 - 1
UNI
59%
24%
17%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2014 |
CAR
7 - 0
UNI
67%
19%
14%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |