Jaguares FC vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
22.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaguares FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2017 |
ENV
1 - 1
JAG
50%
28%
22%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 0
JAG
27%
25%
48%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
JAG
1 - 0
MIL
23%
27%
50%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2017 |
NAC
2 - 0
JAG
72%
18%
10%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
JAG
0 - 2
ALI
41%
28%
31%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2017 |
CHI
2 - 0
CAR
42%
28%
30%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 2
JUN
26%
25%
49%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 1
FOR
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
LEO
1 - 1
CAR
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 1
QUI
46%
25%
28%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |