Jaguares FC vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
42.4%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaguares FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
JAG
1 - 0
ENV
30%
29%
41%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
JAG
2 - 1
BAR
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
JUN
1 - 0
JAG
77%
16%
7%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
JAG
1 - 1
BUC
29%
29%
43%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
MIL
2 - 0
JAG
72%
18%
9%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
BAR
2 - 2
CAR
32%
27%
41%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 0
LEO
60%
20%
20%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 3
PER
38%
26%
36%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
BOG
0 - 0
CAR
31%
27%
42%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 0
LEO
55%
24%
21%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | +3 |