Jaguares FC vs Real Cartagena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.6%
14.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Cartagena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
NAC
2 - 1
CAR
72%
19%
9%
|
63 | 80 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 2
EQU
34%
29%
37%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
HUI
1 - 1
CAR
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
CAR
2 - 1
SFE
29%
27%
44%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2012 |
PAT
1 - 1
CAR
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |