Jaguares FC vs Once Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
50.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaguares FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2016 |
NAC
2 - 1
JAG
74%
17%
9%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
JAG
1 - 0
FOR
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
JAG
0 - 0
TOL
22%
27%
52%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
AGU
2 - 0
JAG
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2016 |
CAL
3 - 2
JAG
67%
21%
13%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2016 |
ONC
1 - 1
ALI
63%
21%
15%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2016 |
PAS
1 - 2
ONC
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
SFE
2 - 0
ONC
47%
27%
26%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2016 |
ONC
3 - 1
PAT
53%
26%
21%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
IND
2 - 1
ONC
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |