Copa Colombia 1/32
Global 2-1
Jaguares FC vs Llaneros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
27.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaguares FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
JAG
0 - 1
PAS
39%
28%
33%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2023 |
IND
1 - 0
JAG
57%
25%
18%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
LLA
1 - 1
JAG
38%
26%
36%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
JAG
1 - 2
HUI
62%
24%
14%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
UNI
1 - 1
JAG
40%
28%
32%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Llaneros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
COR
1 - 1
LLA
35%
30%
36%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2023 |
FOR
1 - 1
LLA
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
LLA
1 - 1
JAG
38%
26%
36%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
LLA
1 - 0
TFC
59%
26%
16%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2023 |
LLA
2 - 0
BOG
52%
26%
22%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |