Jaguares FC vs Independiente Medellín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.4%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.7%
59.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
16.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
7%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaguares FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
BAR
0 - 1
JAG
39%
25%
36%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
HUI
0 - 1
JAG
66%
21%
13%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
JAG
1 - 1
EQU
30%
29%
42%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
JAG
0 - 2
JUN
19%
27%
53%
|
60 | 82 | 22 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2016 |
CAR
3 - 2
JAG
59%
22%
20%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2016 |
ENV
1 - 5
IND
30%
28%
42%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
IND
4 - 2
ALI
65%
21%
13%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
PAS
1 - 0
IND
37%
27%
37%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
IND
1 - 1
NAC
48%
27%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2016 |
IND
2 - 0
AGU
59%
24%
16%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | -1 |