Jaguares FC vs Independiente Medellín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
48.1%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaguares FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
PAS
2 - 0
JAG
41%
27%
31%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
JAG
1 - 1
HUI
29%
27%
44%
|
67 | 76 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2015 |
CAL
0 - 3
JAG
63%
22%
14%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | +2 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
TOL
5 - 0
JAG
71%
18%
11%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
JAG
2 - 0
CHI
34%
28%
38%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente Medellín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2015 |
IND
2 - 1
ENV
58%
24%
18%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
IND
1 - 0
TOL
43%
26%
31%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
NAC
0 - 0
IND
52%
25%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2015 |
ENV
1 - 2
IND
38%
26%
36%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
IND
0 - 0
ONC
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |