Jaguares FC vs Fortaleza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
26.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaguares FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
JAG
0 - 0
TOL
22%
27%
52%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
AGU
2 - 0
JAG
63%
22%
15%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2016 |
CAL
3 - 2
JAG
67%
21%
13%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
JAG
2 - 1
ALI
41%
28%
32%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
JAG
1 - 2
LEO
46%
24%
30%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2016 |
ALI
2 - 1
FOR
49%
27%
24%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
FOR
0 - 1
PAS
30%
28%
42%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
SFE
4 - 0
FOR
64%
22%
14%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
FOR
3 - 2
PAT
30%
31%
39%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
CHI
2 - 1
FOR
36%
28%
37%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -1 |