Copa Colombia Last 16
Global 1-0
Jaguares FC vs Envigado analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
30.5%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaguares FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
JAG
1 - 1
JUN
31%
30%
39%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2024 |
MIL
0 - 0
JAG
52%
27%
22%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
ENV
0 - 0
JAG
45%
26%
29%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
JAG
2 - 1
ENV
38%
30%
32%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
AME
1 - 0
JAG
56%
25%
20%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Envigado
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
MIL
3 - 0
ENV
52%
27%
21%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ENV
0 - 1
ONC
34%
29%
37%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
ENV
0 - 0
JAG
45%
26%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
JAG
2 - 1
ENV
38%
30%
32%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
PAT
2 - 0
ENV
35%
29%
36%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |