Jaguares FC vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
57.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.7%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaguares FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
PAS
2 - 1
JAG
42%
28%
31%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
JAG
0 - 0
ENV
47%
27%
26%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
CAL
2 - 2
JAG
44%
28%
28%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
MIL
2 - 0
JAG
62%
23%
15%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
JAG
1 - 2
PER
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
IND
4 - 3
NAC
26%
26%
48%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
NAC
1 - 1
ENV
74%
17%
9%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
NAC
3 - 2
BUC
69%
20%
12%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2022 |
UNI
2 - 2
NAC
20%
25%
56%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
NAC
1 - 1
JUN
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |