Jaguares FC vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
53.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
16%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.5%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaguares FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
CAL
4 - 0
JAG
59%
23%
17%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
JAG
1 - 0
UNI
37%
28%
35%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2019 |
JAG
2 - 2
ENV
34%
26%
40%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
HUI
0 - 2
JAG
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2019 |
JAG
1 - 1
EQU
27%
30%
44%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2019 |
NAC
3 - 0
SFE
55%
27%
19%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2019 |
NAC
0 - 0
BUC
64%
23%
14%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
ONC
1 - 2
NAC
37%
28%
35%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2019 |
NAC
0 - 0
LAN
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2019 |
DEP
1 - 1
NAC
32%
28%
41%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |