Copa Colombia Last 16
Global 2-2
Jaguares FC vs Atlético Bucaramanga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
28%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaguares FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
TOL
2 - 2
JAG
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2018 |
JAG
2 - 0
LEO
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
EQU
2 - 0
JAG
48%
27%
25%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2018 |
JAG
0 - 1
ONC
38%
28%
34%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2018 |
BOS
3 - 0
JAG
40%
26%
35%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Bucaramanga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
LEO
0 - 1
BUC
33%
30%
37%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
BUC
0 - 2
EQU
39%
28%
33%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
ONC
2 - 1
BUC
54%
26%
20%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
BUC
0 - 0
JUN
35%
28%
37%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2018 |
BUC
4 - 2
HUI
42%
27%
32%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |