1a B Ap. Playoffs Final
Global 5-2
Jaguares FC vs América de Cali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
34%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaguares FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
BUC
3 - 0
JAG
32%
24%
44%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2014 |
JAG
3 - 0
BUC
53%
23%
24%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2014 |
JAG
2 - 0
RIO
38%
23%
39%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
RIO
2 - 1
JAG
50%
22%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
TFC
0 - 2
JAG
23%
29%
48%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
América de Cali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2014 |
LLA
2 - 2
AME
34%
25%
41%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2014 |
AME
4 - 0
LLA
60%
22%
19%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +2 |
| 23 May. 2014 |
AME
3 - 1
QUI
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
QUI
1 - 1
AME
49%
26%
26%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
QUI
3 - 1
AME
45%
28%
27%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |