Jaguares FC vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
35.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaguares FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2019 |
JAG
2 - 2
PER
33%
26%
41%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2019 |
PAT
2 - 1
JAG
48%
27%
26%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2019 |
JAG
0 - 4
TOL
19%
26%
55%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2019 |
ALI
1 - 1
JAG
49%
25%
26%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
JAG
1 - 1
CUC
24%
28%
48%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2019 |
CUC
2 - 1
ALI
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
ALI
2 - 0
EQU
37%
28%
35%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2019 |
HUI
1 - 2
ALI
50%
27%
23%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2019 |
ALI
1 - 1
JAG
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
BUC
3 - 0
ALI
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |