Jaguares FC vs Alianza FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
28.8%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.8%
32.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaguares FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2018 |
AME
2 - 1
JAG
45%
27%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2018 |
JAG
1 - 1
NAC
27%
30%
43%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2018 |
BUC
1 - 0
JAG
43%
25%
32%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2018 |
PAT
4 - 0
JAG
41%
28%
31%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2018 |
JAG
0 - 0
SFE
30%
30%
40%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Alianza FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2018 |
ALI
3 - 2
MIL
32%
27%
41%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
ALI
2 - 2
AME
54%
25%
22%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
NAC
3 - 2
ALI
63%
23%
15%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
ALI
3 - 2
PAT
47%
27%
25%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
SFE
4 - 0
ALI
53%
28%
20%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |