Liga MX Finals Ap. Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
Jaguares FC vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
32.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaguares FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
JAG
2 - 1
QRO
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
MON
1 - 2
JAG
60%
23%
18%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
JAG
0 - 0
CAZ
34%
27%
39%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
VER
1 - 2
JAG
37%
27%
36%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
JAG
2 - 0
SAN
28%
25%
47%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
TIG
2 - 1
TOL
50%
25%
25%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
TOL
2 - 2
AME
50%
24%
26%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
TIJ
0 - 1
TOL
41%
27%
32%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
TOL
2 - 3
LEO
53%
24%
24%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2014 |
TIG
2 - 0
TOL
47%
26%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |