Jaguares FC vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
27.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaguares FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
ATL
0 - 1
JAG
48%
25%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
VER
3 - 1
JAG
33%
26%
40%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
JAG
4 - 0
ATS
49%
24%
28%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2006 |
TIG
1 - 1
JAG
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2006 |
JAG
1 - 1
SNL
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
TOL
2 - 3
VER
64%
21%
16%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
PAC
0 - 1
TOL
45%
28%
27%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2006 |
TOL
1 - 0
NAC
55%
24%
21%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
ATS
0 - 0
TOL
40%
28%
33%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
TOL
1 - 0
PAC
53%
24%
23%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |