Liga MX Finals Cl. Quarter-finals
Global 4-6
Jaguares FC vs Santos Laguna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
38.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jaguares FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
JAG
1 - 0
MOR
40%
26%
35%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
PUM
0 - 3
JAG
50%
26%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
JAG
0 - 0
TIJ
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
SNL
2 - 3
JAG
42%
28%
30%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
ATL
2 - 2
JAG
47%
27%
26%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Santos Laguna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ATS
1 - 3
SAN
24%
25%
51%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 1
MON
57%
22%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 0
TIG
59%
22%
19%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
MON
2 - 0
SAN
49%
24%
28%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
AME
3 - 1
SAN
42%
24%
34%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |